Renew Economy writes about the launch of the Carbon Impacts Tracer, a breakthrough online tool developed by Australian researchers. Read more on Renew Economy.

For too long, fossil fuel companies have claimed that individual projects are too small to matter in the grand scheme of global emissions. This new tool changes the narrative by quantifying exactly how much warming and social/environmental damage—such as coral reef loss and impacts on human livability—each project contributes.

For Tasmania and the broader climate movement, this provides a vital piece of evidence for accountability and advocacy. It allows us to move beyond theoretical arguments and present hard data on the 'pit to peril' impacts of new coal, gas, and oil projects, ensuring that no project can be dismissed as negligible.

1. Key features: Tracks CO2 impacts across eight social and environmental categories.
2. Purpose: To empower decision-makers and the public to hold fossil fuel expansion accountable.

Always worth a listen, Richard Denniss talks on The Australia Institute's Whats the point podcast about the limitations of centrist politics. Hear and read more on The Australia Institute.

As we push for urgent climate action and a transition away from fossil fuels, the tendency toward political pragmatism can often stall the very progress we need. This discussion highlights the tension between political survival and the bold, systemic changes required to meet our climate goals.

For Tasmania and the broader climate movement, understanding the difference between true progressive policy and mere political centrism is vital to ensuring our future is not compromised by half-measures.

Andrew Watkins writes on The Conversation about the lack of progress following Australia's first National Climate Risk Assessment. Read more on The Conversation.

It has been one year since the federal government released its first National Climate Risk Assessment, identifying 63 nationally significant risks—from surging disaster recovery costs to ecosystem collapse. For Tasmania and the wider nation, this report was a vital warning, yet the government's response has been marked by delays and a lack of legislative commitment to future assessments.

While the report highlights the catastrophic potential of extreme weather, the government continues to approve fossil fuel project extensions and subsidise coal and gas corporations. This disconnect between scientific evidence and policy action poses a severe threat to our climate resilience and long-term security.

The TCC highlights that without urgent investment in climate science, adaptation, and a genuine shift away from fossil fuels, we are simply hurtling towards the very risks the experts have warned us about.

Please call, email or meet with your local federal MP and Senator if you want them to do better.

Carbon Brief writes on the future of climate modelling and the new CMIP7 scenarios. Read more on Carbon Brief here.

These new scenarios represent a significant shift in how scientists predict our climate future. By moving away from unrealistic, high-emissions 'business-as-usual' models and instead focusing on the implications of current policies—whether they are strengthened or weakened—we get a much clearer, albeit sobering, picture of the reality we face.

Why this matters for climate action:

1. Realistic Projections: The 'high' end of the scenario range has dropped significantly, reflecting the global shift toward renewables and the declining plausibility of a coal-dominated 21st century.
2. The 1.5C Reality: The models suggest that some level of 'overshoot' of the Paris Agreement targets is now likely unavoidable, highlighting the urgent need for both rapid decarbonisation and effective carbon removal strategies.
3. Policy-Driven Futures: Instead of vague 'radiative forcing' labels, scenarios are now named by their emissions trajectories, making it easier to see how specific policy choices—from strengthening mitigation to rolling back progress—will directly impact warming.

For Tasmania and the broader climate movement, this underscores that while the most extreme 'doomsday' scenarios of the past may be less likely, the path to staying within safe limits is narrower and requires more decisive action than ever before.